Election Polling Canada 2019

The conservatives are ahead in western canada while the liberals lead in ontario quebec and atlantic canada.

Election polling canada 2019. This web site is the creation of p j. Trendlines are local regressions with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. Some polls are behind a paywall and cannot be republished on this website.

2019 canadian federal election. The 338canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls electoral history of canadian provinces and demographic data. Opinion polling for the 43rd canadian federal election data from publicly available polls are represented by coloured dots.

The liberal party led by incumbent prime minister justin trudeau won 157 seats to form a. The 2019 canadian federal election formally the 43rd canadian general election was held on october 21 2019 to elect members of the house of commons to the 43rd canadian parliament the writs of election for the 2019 election were issued by governor general julie payette on september 11 2019. The new democrats are narrowly behind the liberals in third spot in western canada.

Latest polling by region. The conservatives have improved their position since the arrival of new leader erin o toole but still have some ground to make up to get back to where they were on election night in 2019. The liberal party of canada having previously held a majority of the seats in the house was returned with a minority of the seats while the conservative party of canada gained fewer seats than expected and the bloc québécois saw its standing revived in quebec.

Monday october 21 2019 at 16 05 eastern daylight time. Since july 19th 2019 nanos polls are available only behind a paywall so they are not listed here excepted those published in other media such as ctv news. 95 confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

The 2019 canadian federal election was held on october 21 2019 to elect members of the house of commons to the 43rd canadian parliament. Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the 2019 canadian federal election campaign graphed from the data in the table below.