New Zealand Election Forecast

Projections assume the new electorate of takanini will be won by either labour or national and that botany will be returned to national but otherwise assume no material change to the electorate seats held by each party.

New zealand election forecast. These are the predictions for new zealand election 2020 taking place on 17 october. Results can be seen on the new zealand election forecasts at free range statistics. The 52nd parliament was elected on 23 september 2017 and dissolved on 6 september 2020.

Previously seen as a one horse race the election became tighter than expected in recent months causing new zealand dollar. Centre right national had been in power for about nine years. Strong support for construction projects is anticipated to drive this growth particularly in the heavy industry and other non building construction industry with revenue forecast to grow at an annualised 2 8 over the.

New new zealand election forecasts. Here are the predicted probability distributions for number of seats for several of the realistic possible coalitions. Inflation data due ahead of new zealand election the us isn t the only major economy having a leadership election in the coming month.

Several polling firms have conducted opinion polls during the term of the 52nd new zealand parliament in the lead up to the 2020 general election which elects the 53rd parliament. The new zealand general election is being held today. The 2017 new zealand general election will be held on saturday.

Probabilistic prediction model for the new zealand general election. Regardless of the election result the new zealand economy is projected to post a strong recovery over the next five years. New zealand dollar nzd exchange rate forecast.

Since covid 19 began shaking the new zealand economy. Three years ago jacinda ardern was the focus of a great deal of media attention as the fresh face for the labour party. Advance voting has doubled this year over 2017 with more than 1 7 million already having voted.