Do Election Polls Mean Anything

Among election junkies in newsrooms and on social media each of these polling results makes for a likely conversation topic headline or tweet.

Do election polls mean anything. One poll found biden to be trailing trump by 1 point. I m going to dive into this example but keep in mind that biased. Political polling is a type of public opinion polling.

In reality though it s just too early to learn much from surveys testing how trump would fare against various democrats. When done right public opinion polling is an accurate social science with strict rules about sample size random selection of participants and margins of error. And the polls that didn t.

Americans found that out on election night in 2016 when polls predicting victories for hillary clinton in the key swing states of michigan pennsylvania and wisconsin all turned out to be wrong. Let s look at a high profile example of polls being way off the mark. Image via cbs news.

So as we edge closer to the general election trump will most like face clinton in the general election. Unfortunately media reports frequently fail to convey this. In fact over the past more than half century polls have gotten less and less reliable.

National polls are absolutely utterly useless and worthless. Pollsters don t know anything. That s what you might think from watching coverage of early polls of the 2020 general election.

Meanwhile hillary clinton who has already been through a couple presidential elections says it s way too early to read anything into the polls. If you think your candidate has a comfortable lead you might not bother to go stand in line to vote. This article read this if you still think political polls mean anything is free and open source.